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Monday, May 7, 2012

The Fuel Economy: How quickly we forget

Observation:  The Detroit Bureau reports that demand for vehicles of higher fuel consumption has regained some ground, as prices at the pump have stabilized.  Click here to see the story.

Implications:   Are you seeing folks a little less bummed-out about gas prices at your place of business?  If consumers "fear" a little less, are you seeing them spend a little more?  If so, good for you!

But it might not be a great idea to bank on low gas prices over the long haul.  The Middle East has never been a terribly stable place… and you never know when conflict might push prices higher without notice.  And with emerging middle-class economies in China, India and elsewhere, we can expect energy prices to climb based simply on supply and demand.

If you’re a business owner, manager or marketer, how are you exploiting lower (or at least more stable) gas prices right now?  What is your strategy for if (when) prices head the other way?

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Austerity is voted out in France

Observation:  We seldom devote space to the Euro Zone at this site; there are plenty of global economic pundits covering that topic.  But it is worth noting that Francoix Hollande defeated Nicolas Sarkozy in the French presidential election.  Sarkozy generally favored cuts in public spending to solve the economic woes of the country and region; Hollande is a socialist who believes spending will stimulate the economy and people with higher incomes should fund that spending.  Click here to see the Wall Street Journal’s full story on the matter.

Implications:   I’m just watching this story wondering how many of the 17 countries in the European Union might follow suit… and how these shifts in policy might affect companies who export to Europe, or import products and services from Europe.

Also, I’m wondering whether the mood of the U.S. can be expected to shift in similar ways between now and November.  What do you think?

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Thursday, May 3, 2012

Showrooming strikes again. But this time, Target strikes back.

Observation:  Target has decided to stop selling Kindle e-readers, according to a story from USA Today.  The article suggests that part of the reason might be what is called showrooming; when people take a hands-on look at a product in store, but then go online (either at home or from their phone) to buy the item at a cheaper price from an Internet vendor.  The story indicates that another motive might be the Apple mini-stores that are scheduled for launch in a number of Target locations (Apple’s iPad would be considered a direct competitor to Amazon’s Kindle).   Click here to see the story.

Implications:   One way to beat “showrooming” is to offer a product enhancement, service, or sales experience that online vendors can’t deliver.  It seems to me that Target has decided to do just that… but just not with Kindles.

[To see our prior stories on Showrooming, click here.]

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Men hit the grocery store in greater numbers

Observation:  A story out of the Northwest indicates that men are taking over a greater share of the household food shopping.  According to the report, men now represent about 31% of supermarket visitors; in 1985, that number was 14%.  Click here to see the NWCN.com.

Implications:   The story suggests that this shift in gender balance at the grocery store is due to “the erosion of the traditional family.”  While the composition of the American family is much different than it used to be, I’m not sure I’d refer to it as “erosion,” but simply, “changing.”  Further, changes in simple economics and the employment landscape are a contributor; with more women in the workforce than there were in 1985, it should not shock us that evidence is finally beginning to accumulate that men are taking over (or at least contributing more) in other areas of the household operation.

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Today, 60% of food shopping is intended to satisfy an immediate need

Observation:  According to a report from the International Dairy, Deli and Bakery Association, the majority of trips will involve purchasing food for instant consumption or an immediate need.  Further, consumers are spending more on food and gasoline because of rising prices in both categories, and placing more emphasis on health as something that contributes to the value proposition.  A summary of the findings were published in an article from Convenience Store Decisions, and you can click here to read it.

Implications:   Time Sensitivity remains an important—and increasing—driver of consumer behavior today.  Grocery stores that waste consumer’s time risk being displaced by companies that offer quicker meal solutions, faster checkout alternatives, or entirely different channels… such as convenience stores, restaurants or home delivery meal options.

But certainly, this need for speed isn’t confined to food consumption.  Is your company, product or service subject to the rule of Time Sensitivity law?  Is there anything you can do to accelerate your offering?  Or—and this is a very real possibility—is your category immune to the issue, satisfying customers who are so time-stressed that they’re eager to slow down, relax, and have a nice candle-light dinner?  Could you have different customers who expect different things… or the same customers who want speed on a weekday but leisure on the weekend?

Staying in-touch with consumers has never been more important, as the benefits they seek within the products they buy continue to evolve.  [By the way, for more stories on the issue of Time Sensitivity, click here.]

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Wednesday, May 2, 2012

The trend of “Power to the People” continues

Observation:  One mega-trend we’ve been talking about for years is something we refer to as “Consumer Control.”  Essentially, it is the acceptance that consumers dictate the terms of the relationship, whether you work in products, services, retail or wholesale.  Pervasive Technology has empowered the consumer to make decisions that they once left to a vendor or service provider.  This, combined with increased competition in the wake of the Great Recession, has contributed to a power shift, in which the consumer wields tremendous control.


Implications:   Do you serve customers?  Or collaborate with them?  Do your customers want to be call the shots, or do they hope to receive full service... or both?

[Note: For more stories about Consumer Control dating back to April 2008, click here.  For stories from the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog that are related to Pervasive Technology, a contributor to the trend of Consumer Control, click here.]

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Grocery business likely to be staffed by Boomers

Observation:  We’ve offered a variety of posts at this site that point to how Baby Boomers are likely to redefine retirement, just as they have reshaped virtually other life stage they’ve lived through.  Yesterday’s newsletter from Phil Lempert chimed-in on the topic by suggesting that Boomers will not only continue to be great customers at grocery, they could be an important part of operations behind the checkout and in customer service.  Click here to see his post.

Implications:   As Boomers do everything they can to stretch their nest egg, expect to see them take modified roles in the labor market for years to come. 

[Note: To see one of our earlier stories about Baby Boomer “Rehirement,” click here (it was offered in September, 2009.  For more on Generational Economics, click here.]

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Tuesday, May 1, 2012

Insights into the (r)etail (r)evolution

Observation:  The May newsletter from Trendwatcher.com focuses on how the consumer is finding value in their online (and often mobile) shopping and spending.  The series is broken into four distinct segments (click on any of them to see the corresponding material):  E is for everywhere,  (M)Etail, E(asy) Commerce, and Oh What a Wonderful Web.

Implications:   There is no shortage of innovation on the web, and it sometimes seems we’re drowning in new digital tools and ways we could be using the web and mobile devices to reach and serve consumers.  Trendwatcher.com is a great source for ideas like these… but it can start to feel overwhelming.

My advice is to keep it simple.  It would be virtually impossible to know everything there is to know about all of your digital options.  So focus, instead, on your customers, and how they’re using their online and mobile devices.  Don’t aspire to serve technology.  Let technology serve you and your most important customers and prospects.

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Speaking of catering to the un-banked: Walmart.com has found a way to accept cash for online purchases

Observation:  As a follow-up to our story about banking earlier today (see immediately below), we were intrigued by this nugget from TechCrunch.  It explains that customers can “buy” items online at Walmart’s website, but then pay for that cart full of goods in-person at a Walmart store.  Click here to see the story.

Implications:   The TechCrunch story indicates that only around 15% of transactions in a Walmart store are paid for with a credit card.  If such a significant majority of purchases are paid with cash, it makes all the sense in the world to accept cash in the online channel of that store, too. 

Undoubtedly, there are folks reading this who are thinking, “This is nuts!  They’re forcing the consumer to physically visit a store to complete their online purchase!”  But undoubtedly, there are folks at Walmart who would answer, “That’s right.  And the problem is…?”

[Note:  Thanks to friend and colleague Matt Sunshine for tipping me off to the TechCrunch story.]

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Financial: Banking on lower-income customers

Observation:  A recent story from the New York Times explains how some major banks are offering check cashing services, short-term loans and other services.  In addition to steep fees that allow the banks recapture revenue that was lost during post-recession banking reform, the services are often designed to help banks re-capture low-income consumers they had previously overlooked.   Click here to see the story.

Implications:   This blog has often referred to a cohort of consumers called, “the un-banked.”  Often, the people who fit into this group are simply younger consumers; those who might have an account or two with a bank, but who do not have a substantial relationship with their bank due to automatic deposit, automated or online bill paying services, etc.  (Perhaps it would be more accurate to say they have a bank, but not a bankER.) 

Another segment of the un-banked cohort was simply composed of lower-income consumers; those people who might not have the funds to invest in an IRA, money market or other investment account, those without the dollars to deposit in a significant savings instrument, and without the impressive credit history that stringent lending rules might require.  For years, banks were courting more affluent customers, and the un-banked were left to fend for their financial needs with check-cashing services and payday lenders.

It is worthwhile to note how times change.

Are there prospects and customers in your business that are being taken for granted as “secondary?”  Don’t get me wrong:  There is no rule against that, and I can make several arguments in favor of that.  But one might ask whether there is any scenario or shift that might alter the profile of your ideal target customer.  Are you continually talking with customers and monitoring industry trends so you can better anticipate such shifts?    

[Editor’s note:  For more on the un-banked, see these postings from July 2010, and April 2010.]

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Study compares generational differences in online behaviors

Observation:  Time, Inc. has released a report about how digital natives (people who’ve never known a world without the web) and digital immigrants (those of us who grew up without but have adopted online technology) differ in their approach to web and device usage.  Click here to see the full release.

Implications:  Not all computer, smartphone, or web users are created equally.  It’s important to grasp how your customers (and those consumers you aspire to serve) are embracing the technology that surrounds them.

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.

Is “Like” a measure of engagement?

Observation:  Today’s Research Brief inspires us to ask a worthwhile question.  Just because you have lots of “Likes,” is your Facebook page successful?  Click here to see the story.

Implications:   I don’t know about you, but I’ve looked over the shoulder at several folks surfing Facebook and I’ve asked the same question.  And I confess to some of the behaviors myself.  Maybe someone sees a page because on of their friends has liked it, so they land on the page, are amused for a moment, and then click “Like” on the way out.  Was the campaign that elicited this response viral?  Absolutely.  But so is a quickly passing cold sore.  That doesn’t mean it will have a long-term effect on the user’s life, nor on the company involved.

It’s just as important with social and other forms of digital that you measure the right things.  Are you customers truly engaged?  How do you know? Are sales (or other desired responses) increasing in response to your messaging effort?  How do you know?  Where have you placed the thermostat?  You can get “re-pins” on Pinterest or “likes” on Facebook simply by sharing a picture of a horse with a hoof coming out of its head that you created with Photoshop.  That doesn’t make it effective social marketing.

Mike Anderson, for the Elm Street Economics consumer trends blog. A service of The Center for Sales Strategy, Inc.